Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.366110 0.399820 0.435732 0.476921 0.522957 0.572943 0.631477
2025-12-14 0.306802 0.353321 0.406206 0.471131 0.549166 0.640536 0.756492
2025-12-21 0.266649 0.317696 0.378218 0.455929 0.554018 0.674997 0.837505
2025-12-28 0.247628 0.303494 0.372103 0.463628 0.584144 0.739732 0.959642
2026-01-04 0.231895 0.291068 0.365941 0.469153 0.610159 0.799701 1.080147
2026-01-11 0.217926 0.279243 0.358876 0.471869 0.631394 0.853793 1.196966
2026-01-18 0.205681 0.268439 0.351861 0.473361 0.650111 0.904960 1.313975
2026-01-25 0.195971 0.260144 0.347309 0.477399 0.672084 0.961978 1.445311
2026-02-01 0.183206 0.246652 0.334394 0.468063 0.672969 0.986612 1.527120
2026-02-08 0.175341 0.239460 0.329771 0.470282 0.691091 1.038937 1.659679
2026-02-15 0.166649 0.230486 0.321873 0.466761 0.699600 1.076123 1.769975
2026-02-22 0.160273 0.224457 0.317838 0.468696 0.716655 1.128428 1.912696
2026-03-01 0.152092 0.215408 0.308876 0.462476 0.720194 1.158791 2.020242
2026-03-08 0.144661 0.207097 0.300560 0.456701 0.723972 1.189865 2.133193
2026-03-15 0.135764 0.196078 0.287406 0.442069 0.711243 1.189966 2.184519
2026-03-22 0.132573 0.193674 0.287586 0.449483 0.737490 1.263561 2.394896
2026-03-29 0.129145 0.190692 0.286623 0.454803 0.760271 1.332673 2.605527
2026-04-05 0.125387 0.186979 0.284233 0.457418 0.778175 1.393918 2.807671
2026-04-12 0.121642 0.183092 0.281317 0.458854 0.793863 1.452123 3.011392
2026-04-19 0.118604 0.180194 0.279864 0.462741 0.814443 1.522205 3.253836
2026-04-26 0.113383 0.173471 0.271616 0.453753 0.809114 1.537418 3.364350
2026-05-03 0.110464 0.170439 0.269501 0.455890 0.825998 1.601732 3.608835
2026-05-10 0.106762 0.165928 0.264605 0.452499 0.831359 1.641226 3.794963